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Name: Mike Silverman
Location: Milford, MA
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DEMOCRATS ARE WORRIED - ARE EMPLOYING INTIMIDATION TACTICS

Posted by Mike Silverman on Tuesday, November 04, 2008 1:42:20 PM
The news media is set to call this election for Obama.  They don't like to have thier opinion polling data discredited by the voting populace, and they want Obama to win no matter what. I heard several news anchors saying they will call it as soon as they get exit polling data, even if you and I are still at the polling stations voting.  They will call it as soon as they can in order to depress as much turnout for McCain as they possibly can. In other words they are ready to jump on board to any flimsy data they get to declare it's over and hope to convince Republicans to stay home. But McCain is not prepared to let them get away with it.  McCain's campaign launched a law suit yesterday in Virginia to demand that absentee military ballots be counted.  The election board had declared that because 10's of thousands of military ballots didn't reach the military personel within 45 days prior to the election that the ballots would not be counted.  These ballots of course would be favorable to McCain since most of the active military voters favor him for President. The point is that this shows that McCain is going to fight for this win.  If we get a close tally, like Florida was for Bush in 2000, McCain will fight for it.  This is good, because there is evidence of the possibility for rampant tampering with results by the left. Also the NAACP lost a law suit in Virginia trying to force changes to the voting regulations that would favor Obama constituents.  That's also a good sign. It's good because it was a fast decision and it was against changing polling station rules at the last minute. That means the Democrats may actaully have to win it legitmately, at least in Virginia.  There is a good chance that the opinion polls up to now showing Obama with a lead have been misleading. I am absolutely convinced, more now than ever before, that McCain can win this if all registered Republicans show up to vote. Republican vote monitors are being forced from polling stations by Democrats who have a majority status in certain districts. That's an indication that the Democrats are SCARED.  They are very very worried that they are going to lose this, so they have abandoned any subterfuge, and are openly intimidating voters.  Obama has done a good job of selling the idea that his voters will get free stuff, free gas, free medicine, free houses, great jobs, if they simply vote for him.  He's got a lot of weak minded people bamboozled which is why it's going to be up to the thinkers, the pragmatists to win this election, over the "feelers" and the emotional voters who don't care if Obama is lying to them.
 
- Mike Silverman
 
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WHY BOTHER VOTING?

Posted by Mike Silverman on Monday, November 03, 2008 12:02:00 PM
No one can tell you what you think, no one can tell you how to vote, and in this country no one can tell you that your vote doesn't matter.  Right now, all the pundits have declared the election over. They have already decided, based on opinion polls, what states have been won by which candidate. This is nothing but a farce and an attempt to depress voter turnout.  Remember, an opinion poll is not fact. It is opinion based on a how a small sample of  people answers some crafted polling questions.  The only factual data regarding who wins what states in this election is the data from the real ballots marked by the electorate on election day. Until the ballots are counted and the electoral votes officially scored, no one can make any official claim that one state or another is not in contention. Opinion polls count for absolutely nothing at all in our election process. Rassmussen, Gallop, Wall Street Journal, et al.., are not mentioned in the constitution, and while they have a right to print opinion polls they have no right to have thier data be given any measure of trust and validity. Whatever value thier opinion polls are given is solely up to you. Personally I don't consider polls at all. I don't let movie critics decide what movies I'll watch, and I don't let food critics decide what restaurants I'll patronize.  I make my own choices. If you are someone who makes your own decisions in life, then ignore what the pundits want you to believe and go vote for whoever you feel is best. When the President takes the oath of office he swears an oath to defend and uphold the constitution.  As citizens we should do the same. It is our role to defend the vaules and principles that formed this nation as a land free from the tyranny of monarchy and gives every citizen a voice with the ability to choose our leaders.
 
- Mike Silverman
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POLLING DATA - DYING IS OUR ONLY CHOICE

Posted by Mike Silverman on Thursday, October 30, 2008 10:42:43 AM
Well, the trend with pundits and pollsters is now this. They say... "If Obama wins...., X.....,( X being whatever state they think will decide it all).... then it's all over. Go home, go to bed, give it up all of you Republicans". So, we are supposed to keep an eye on either Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, Virginia..., or whatever..., you name it..., and if we see Obama winning that particular state then we shouldn't bother voting , it's just a waste of time to try, and we should go home and prepare for an Obama presidency. Rassmussen was trying this nonsense today on Fox News, "If Virginia breaks early for Obama.... it's all over"..., he says. Others say, "If Obama wins Pennsylvania it's over", "If Obama wins Florida it's over", and of course none of them think McCain has any chance anyways. So why bother having an election? According to pundits all we need to know is told to us in the current polls. Since the polls are treated the same as if the actual voting has already taken place, lets just average all the opinion polls right now, and give the presidency this afternoon to whoever is ahead, which of course will be Obama. Then we don't have to "waste" our time being involved in our country's future by exercising our constitutional right to vote, we can just let pollsters decide who will win based on the response to thier crafted opinion poll questions. And why stop at the Presidential election? Let's do this for all elections at the state level, as well as elected judges, sheriffs...., Polls for Everyone. We can change the name of our country to Poll-land! This will guarantee that the Democrats win every time in a national election since national polling data is always weighted in favor of Democrats. And since that will be the case, there's no point in any opposition party, so we may as well disband the Republican party, and we may as well stop criticizing anything Democrats do since that won't change the polling data.  Freedom of the press or free speech basically becomes a moot point. And since we would have no control over our destiny, why bother working? The government will be taking care of everything that the old-fashioned idea of independence and free market Capitalism once offered to citizens. So that's it. Then why bother living?  The government under Democrat domination will legalize assisted suicide and make Dr. Jack Kevorkian's death machines available to everyone, and we can just slip out of existence as our country melts down into a socialist cesspool of failing systems that were meant to feed, clothe, house and care for us all from the cradle to the grave. With no incentive to achieve more than mediocrity we will finally fall from being a superpower to being a third world nation that can't afford to sustain itself under an ever increasing tax burden. Isn't this great?  This is basically what we can look forward to ,if we simply put all our faith in pollsters. Personally, I don't care who says "it's over", it isn't over until the votes are counted. They can try to tell me I shouldn't bother voting, but they won't succeed in delivering that sucker punch to "me".  I intend to be the first one in line at my local polling station on election day. And if the pollsters and pundits don't appreciate it, they can know where they can stick thier polling data.
   
- Mike Silverman
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THE POLLS - THE BOTTOM LINE SHOWS IT A LOT CLOSER

Posted by Mike Silverman on Saturday, October 11, 2008 5:25:50 PM

The poll with the widest spread, Newsweek's Poll , shows Obama with an 11 point lead over McCain.  I just looked at that poll's details.  Here's what Newsweek's polling data actually shows.  They play around with a lot of demographic data , alot of what if's, trends, etc..., but if you look at the bottom line in this poll,  if the election were held today , Newsweek's poll breaks down like this among registered voters;
 
Republicans for McCain/Palin - 89
Democrats for McCain/Pailn - 5
Independents for McCain/Palin - 45

Total registered among these voters for McCain/Palin - 139

Republicans for Obama/Biden - 7
Democrats for Obama/Biden - 91
Independents for Obama/Biden - 43

Total registered among these voters for McCain/Palin - 141

Newsweek Poll ( http://www.newsweek.com/id/163337)

A difference of TWO points, Not eleven points.  This is why people should not jump to conclusions and simply accept the end number that comes out of these polls.  Polling data conclusions mix in demographics and questions that go beyond the bottom line.

As of today,  10/11/2008  the Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll shows only a 4 point difference between Obama and McCain. ( http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE49911I20081011)

Poll numbers are used by media and pundits to deflate voters, and drive down expectations for one or the other candidate.  I've said it before, and I'll say it again now, forget all the polls. Polls and polling agencies and spin doctors play games with polling numbers all day long in order to achieve an effect.  Polling data doesn't actually mean anything unless it's the polling data coming out of the official tally on election day this Novemeber.  Even now the Obama camp is figuring in polling data as a depressant on Republican voters but if every Republican/Conservative gets to the polling booth and votes McCain/Pailn,  it virtually guarantees this election goes to McCain.

- Mike Silverman

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DON'T BE SWAYED - POLLS ARE DESIGNED TO STOP YOU

Posted by Mike Silverman on Tuesday, October 07, 2008 11:50:39 AM
It's crunch time with 4 weeks to go to the election. All the polls are favoring Obama. But here is what the polls don't show. According to Ramussen Reports ,the general voting public in July of 2008 was about 31.6% Republican, 39.2% Democrat ( a difference of 7.6%), with the rest claiming to be moderates. In August the numbers changed, 33.2% Republican and 38.9% Democrat ( a difference of 5.7%). The interesting trend is that since May of this year, the number of Democrats has steadily declined from a high of 41.7% down to the current 38.9%, while registered Republicans have increased over that same period from 31.6% to 33.2%.  The shift in the differential of party affiliation since May is significant. In May the Democrats had a 10.1% advantage in ranks, as of now that has dwindled down to a 5.7% advantage.  The trend in rising voter ranks leans to the Republican party. If every Republican party member votes on election day for McCain/Palin, the best that Democrat voters will be able to muster if all are on board with Obama is a 5.7% difference advantage. That leaves the moderates and independents and perhaps some swing voters in the Democrat ranks.  In March of this year Gallup Poll reported that a very significant number of voters in the Democrat ranks stated that they would vote for McCain if thier candidate did not win the nomination.  In surveying Independents who lean Democrat and Conservative Democrats they found ... "Almost 4 out of 10 voters in these two groups who support Clinton say they would vote for McCain if Obama is the nominee." As recently as September 10th  Independents alone were favoring McCain over Obama by 46% to 31% according to a Fox news poll. There is plenty of reason to be optimistic about the outcome in November if you don't allow yourself to buy into the "conventional wisdom" of the liberal press that wants this to be over right now and to anoint Obama as the next President.
In an investigation by the Pew Research Center they came up with the following analysis.  The national press runs about 34% liberal and local press about 23% liberal for a total of 57% liberal press. Conservative press is about 7% nationally and 12% in local markets. NBC CNN CBS REUTERS all have liberal bents to thier reporting. They want Obama to win and will promote an Obama lead in the polling data as meaning the election is over and claim Obama to be victorious prematurely. But as they do that, they will prove themselves wrong. They always underestimate the drive of the Republican base when it's energized, and I am confident that it is. Whether you simply shudder at the thought of an Obama presidency, or are a full fledged McCain advocate, or even just excited about Sarah Palin bringing  Conservative values to DC, there is only one poll that actually counts, the poll you officially cast your vote at in this November's election. Gallup Poll Data is at - (  http://www.gallup.com/poll/105742/Democratic-Groups-Most-Risk-Deserting.aspx )
 
- Mike Silverman
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REMEMBER THE GOAL AND DONT FALL INTO THE DRAMA OF KNEE-JERK POLLING

Posted by Mike Silverman on Sunday, September 28, 2008 3:51:03 PM
If you're scratching your head about the sudden bump for Obama in the polls, stay calm.   The majority of undecided, those who have no interest in politics and tend to remain neutral until last few weeks prior to the election , have just now begun to pay attention.  They have not been keeping up with the unfolding drama of the campaigns and do not have the same insights regarding the candidates that the rest of us do who have felt a stake in this since the primaries. These people tend to go with whoever "feels" most comfortable at the moment.  Thus, cries of woe about the economy from President Bush, is not helpful to the Republican candidate with this group of voters. John McCain and Sarah Palin, Conservative pundits, and grass roots Repbulicans need to stay on the offensive. Keeping up the public exposure of the disturbing policies, lack of experience, and questionable associations of Obama is vital right now. This is not a time for movement Conservatives to get bent out of shape over some quibbling about how Conservative the context of the message is coming from the Republican candidates.  A united front is required to keep this candidacy from slipping backwards in a black hole of our own making. The focus needs to be entirely, without wavering, on tieing an anchor to the Obama/Biden ship by keeping the truth about these dubious characters front-and-center. Don't be dismayed by bumps for Obama right now. Pollsters are pushing for a response from the great unwashed who aren't ready to decide, and when pushed they will respond in knee-jerk fashion, and the result is not reliable data. Stay on message. Liberal groups are pounding the pavement right now trying thier best to scare the hell out of anyone who will listen to them. Those frightened Conservatives  who have flow to the treetops to quiver over the current polling data and sway in the wind as they cry "oh woe is us..." have got to come back down to earth RIGHT NOW. We need all hands on deck to keep the McCain / Palin ticket energized. We can not afford rogues abandoning ship to declare that the first-mate is unfit.  Let's hold it togther folks! Keep your eyes on the prize and don't lose your focus!
 
- Mike Silverman
 
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